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Saturday 26 September 2026
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News deskSaturday 26 September 2026 · Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 6
Manchester City’s lead exposes a misleading chasing pack

Manchester City’s lead exposes a misleading chasing pack

The lead reflects control rather than a narrow margin, while Arsenal’s elevated place hides Brighton’s more persuasive profile.

Season 2026/27

The season in numbers

36%Home wins32% drawn, 32% away
50%Both teams scored25 of 50
52%Three goals or moreover 2.5, as the bookmakers put it
50%Had a clean sheet5 finished goalless
38%Decided by one goalthe margin the league turns on
2.82Goals per match141 in 50

Worked out from every completed match in the competition.

Second halves

What half-time is actually worth

67%Half-time leads that wonof 27 matches with a lead at the break
2Comebackssides behind at half-time who won anyway
55%Goals after the break63 before, 78 after
0-1Most common scoreline6 times, home team first

Taken from the half-time and full-time scores of 50 matches.

Nobody else prints this

Four tables the league does not keep

Points rescued from losing positions

  1. Crystal Palace3
  2. Man City3
  3. Liverpool2
  4. Leeds United1
  5. Chelsea1

Behind at the break, points on the board anyway.

Points thrown away from winning ones

  1. Bournemouth7
  2. Fulham3
  3. Hull City2
  4. Brentford2
  5. Nottingham2

Ahead at the break, and it cost them.

The second-half league

  1. Man City13 pts
  2. Brighton Hove13 pts
  3. Arsenal12 pts
  4. Liverpool11 pts
  5. Everton9 pts

If every match kicked off level at half-time.

The first-half league

  1. Bournemouth11 pts
  2. Man City10 pts
  3. Brighton Hove9 pts
  4. Brentford9 pts
  5. Hull City8 pts

If every match ended at the break.

By club

Habits, not results

Clean sheet percentage

  1. Arsenal60%
  2. Hull City60%
  3. Everton60%
  4. Brighton Hove60%
  5. Liverpool60%

Home comforts

  1. Everton5 pts
  2. Brentford5 pts
  3. Brighton Hove4 pts
  4. Man City3 pts
  5. Newcastle2 pts

How many more points at home than away. The bigger the number, the worse the travellers.

Goals after the break

  1. Coventry City100%
  2. Tottenham100%
  3. Man United88%
  4. Aston Villa75%
  5. Nottingham75%

Share of a club's goals scored in the second half.

Fixtures

The weekend, both ways

Coming up

10 Oct 12:30 ArsenalvLeeds United
10 Oct 15:00 ChelseavBournemouth
10 Oct 15:00 Ipswich TownvFulham
10 Oct 15:00 Aston VillavBrentford
10 Oct 17:30 Man UnitedvTottenham

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